China’s expanding presence presents clear challenges. It also creates opportunities for Australia and its partners to shape the regional environment, strengthen relationships and reinforce resilience. Those opportunities aren’t about confronting China directly, but about shaping the environment in which it operates. They’re about strengthening the ability of regional states to make sovereign choices, raising the costs of coercion and ensuring that no single power can dominate the Indo-Pacific.
This reflects a broader reality: competition with China will be enduring. The task isn’t to avoid competition but to manage it over the long term. Australia’s approach in recent years has increasingly reflected that logic. While pursuing a policy of stabilisation with Beijing, senior ministers have also openly acknowledged the reality of strategic competition and the need to strengthen deterrence, deepen regional partnerships and build collective resilience. For Australia and its partners, that requires a sustained strategy of engagement, coordination and investment across multiple domains.
